central currency, Featured

2024-12-13 05:30:15

According to the latest inflation data released by the Bureau of Statistics, in November this year, China's consumer price index rose by 0.2% year-on-year, down by 0.1% compared with October. It has been slowly weakening for four consecutive months, and it is still near the zero axis. At the same time, the PPI decreased by 2.5% in November, which was slightly higher than that in October, but it still performed poorly.Like the support, I wish everyone a victory!However, today's news is not calm. The Bureau of Statistics released China's CPI and PPI data in November, which will have a lasting impact on the real economy, high-level governance and the A-share market! It is also the main reason why today's A-share market did not continue the strong pattern of last Friday.


Of course, everything has its two sides. The disadvantages of flat economic data are obvious, so what are the benefits? Combined with the current policy environment of the whole market, everyone should be able to guess!Once the domestic economic recovery falls short of expectations in the fourth quarter of this year, the top management will continue to increase all kinds of economic stabilization policies to ensure the smooth operation of the domestic economy in the first quarter of next year! In fact, this point can also be found in the Xinhua News Agency article. When it comes to fiscal policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that there is still more room for borrowing in China at present; When it comes to monetary policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that the counter-cyclical mediation of monetary policy will continue to increase in the future!Once the domestic economic recovery falls short of expectations in the fourth quarter of this year, the top management will continue to increase all kinds of economic stabilization policies to ensure the smooth operation of the domestic economy in the first quarter of next year! In fact, this point can also be found in the Xinhua News Agency article. When it comes to fiscal policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that there is still more room for borrowing in China at present; When it comes to monetary policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that the counter-cyclical mediation of monetary policy will continue to increase in the future!


To understand this problem, we need to know the reasons for the divergence between the two indexes today, so as to judge the market trend in the later period.Combined with the two sets of inflation data in November, we can almost get a conclusion:Therefore, for the A-share market, the economic data released by the Bureau of Statistics this morning can only cause psychological impact, and can't bring greater destructive power to the whole market. This is the reason why the market dived in the middle of the market, but eventually it basically leveled off!

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